Institute for Contemporary Affairs/Wechsler Family Foundation
Syria is the main state component of the "resistance camp" and serves a logistical hinterland for Hizbullah, Hamas, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad. Iran sees its unequivocal backing for Syria as a demonstration of its ability to stay loyal to its allies. Iran believes that ultimately the "Islamic mantle" will supplant the region's pro-Western regimes as part of the Islamic awakening. This would offset the possible loss of Syria.
Hamas’ joining of the PLO does not herald a strategic shift in the movement’s policy or recognition of the agreements the PLO has signed with Israel. The Hamas leadership keeps emphasizing that it seeks to take over the PLO after new elections to the Palestinian National Council and to alter the PLO platform in accordance with its own views.
Egypt's Islamic movements seek a way to cast off the Camp David agreement in a manner that will incur minimal diplomatic and economic damage while restoring Egypt to its leading role in the circle of states confronting Israel. This means re-examining the Camp David agreement and submitting it to the decision of the new parliament that will be controlled by the Islamic parties or to a referendum – thereby alleviating the responsibility of any future Egyptian government for cancelling the peace treaty.
Since the publication of the November 2011 IAEA report, which explicitly spotlights Iran’s plans to build nuclear weapons, senior figures of the Iranian regime and the state-run media have begun to use threatening and defiant language toward Israel and the U.S. From Iran’s standpoint, an ongoing, head-on confrontation with the U.S. and Israel would serve its purposes in the region and build its image as a key actor that stands firm against the West and provides an alternative agenda to reshape the Middle East. Iran is preparing for the "final confrontation."
Iran already has enough uranium on hand for at least four or five nuclear bombs, should it decide to further enrich its stock of low-enriched uranium. The November 2011 IAEA report provides the details for what the agency has long suspected – that Iran is determined to obtain nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them to target.
Hizbullah leader Hasan Nasrallah has told his field commanders that in the next military conflict with Israel, Hizbullah will hit Tel Aviv with missiles at the outset of the war, while dispatching forces to conquer the Galilee. The operational plan, formulated in tandem with senior Iranian strategic experts, includes a force of 5,000 fighters who have recently trained in Iran, tasked with taking over northern Israeli cities including Nahariya, Shlomi, and Carmiel. As a strategic arm of Iran, Hizbullah sees itself as Iran’s first line of defense against Israel.
In 2004, the ascent to the Mughrabi Gate of the Temple Mount in Jerusalem collapsed and was replaced by a temporary wooden bridge. Despite the claims of radical Muslim circles, constructing a new bridge does not endanger the mosques on the Temple Mount, which are located hundreds of meters away. It is time to put an end to the Mughrabi Gate affair and to replace the temporary bridge with a permanent one.
In the Iranian lexicon, one does not encounter the concept of the "Arab Spring." Instead, Iran has coined the term "Islamic awakening." In contrast to the perceived economic enfeeblement of the Western economies headed by the U.S., which constitute the bases of support for the "Zionist regime," Iran offers a substitute view of a new world order and an alternative, defiant Islamic agenda.
According to surveys, more Palestinians in east Jerusalem would prefer to become citizens of Israel rather than citizens of a new Palestinian state. In addition, 40% said they would probably or definitely move in order to live under Israeli rather than Palestinian rule. For people who tend to assume that a fair and practical solution for the Jerusalem issue is for the Arab neighborhoods to become part of Palestine and the Jewish neighborhoods to become part of Israel, these findings suggest that this could be somewhat problematic from the point of view of the people who actually live in east Jerusalem.
The Syrian opposition will eventually take over and, as in the case of Egypt, they know that their interests lie with friendship with Western countries like the United States, and not with Iran. So in the long run, a new Syrian regime might be better for Israel than this current regime.
Five years after the Second Lebanon War, Hizbullah has reached one of its lowest points due to the endangered survival of the Assad regime in Syria. Thus, Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah is focusing on the offshore gas fields that Israel is developing, believing his threats will distract attention from the decline in Hizbullah's status.
Beginning in 1991 as part of the Madrid framework, five multilateral working groups addressed key regional issues: environment, arms control and regional security, water, refugees, and economic development. Restarting the multilateral talks and adopting a "code of conduct" for the negotiating process would allow the West to influence political evolution in the Arab world in a democratic and positive way.
Tehran charges that Syria is the victim of an attempt by the West, led by the U.S., to overthrow the Assad regime, under cover of the "Arab Spring." Since the beginning of the protest wave against Bashar Assad's regime in Syria, Iran has backed Damascus and assisted it in both the security and propaganda aspects of its violent repression of the protest.
Israel's creation, far from being a foreign colonial transplant, can actually be seen as the vanguard of and impetus for decolonialization of the entire Middle East, including a significant part of the Arab world. It is not popularly recognized how the Arab world benefited from the Balfour Declaration, which served to advance their own independence from the colonial powers of England and France.
Download the powerpoint presentation that accompanied the briefing.
- Nadav Shragai A principal argument of those who support the division of Israel's capital is the need to improve the city's demographic balance between Jews and Arabs in favor of Jews. However, a higher Arab birthrate is not the primary cause for the decrease in the Jewish majority in Jerusalem. Rather, the main reason is that large numbers of Jews are leaving the city due to housing and employment difficulties. To reverse Jewish emigration from Jerusalem, the city must be declared an area of national priority of the highest order.
It has become fashionable to look to the lessons of the peace process in Northern Ireland as holding insights for other areas of conflict in the world. However, the core realities unique to the region do not necessarily translate elsewhere. For the British government, formal negotiations with the IRA could only occur in a context in which republican violence had been brought to an end. With the IRA in a position of declining military and political fortunes, it sought to extricate itself via the peace process.
Long-Term Jerusalem Center Projects
"Israel's Strategic Reality"
Maj.-Gen. Amir Eshel, Head of the IDF Planning Branch
January 17, 2012
Is Libya Disintegrating as a State? - Jacques Neriah The continuing presence of the militias in Libya is seen as a serious – and growing – threat to stability. Disarming them and persuading them to integrate within the national forces is now the greatest challenge facing the fledgling government as it tries to establish security before elections planned later this year.
Previous Posts: A Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing: The Victory of the Islamist Justice and Development Party in Morocco - Jonathan D. Halevi Is There an End in Sight to the Syrian Regime? - Jacques Neriah All Posts >>
Produced under the politicized U.N. Human Rights Council, the Goldstone Report has been shown to be largely inaccurate.
International legal claims were distorted in a manner that maximized allegations of Israeli violations, while minimizing Hamas war crimes during the December 2008 January 2009 Gaza War.
The Goldstone Report Reconsidered is an essential volume for understanding the principles, as well as the distortions, of human rights and international law, particularly in the context of the Arab-Israeli conflict.
Read the Full Report
A concerted campaign is being waged against Israel to question its very legitimacy in virtually every aspect of its historical, political, and cultural life, with the aim of undermining the very foundations of Israel's existence In response, several world-renowned experts have joined to present an authoritative exposition of Israel’s Rights as a Nation-State in International Diplomacy, edited by Alan Baker, former legal counsel of Israel's Foreign Ministry and former ambassador to Canada, and published jointly by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs and the World Jewish Congress. This report explains clearly why the Jewish people deserve a state of their own and refutes all the major claims against Israel’s rights.
An Overview of the Report - Amb. Alan Baker View the program here
Rediscovering Israel’s Fundamental Rights – Seth Frantzman, 15 September 2011 (Jerusalem Post)
Watch the video, then take the Jerusalem History Quiz
Where did the idea of land swaps come from? During the mid-1990s, Israeli academics involved in backchannel talks accepted the principle that the Palestinians would obtain 100% of the territory, just like Egypt received 100% of the Sinai Peninsula. But just because an idea was discussed in the past, does that make it part of the diplomatic agenda in the future, even if the idea was never part of any legally binding, signed agreements?
In light of a widening range of threats to Israel's security, for the first time a group of senior Israeli generals has come together to outline the basic principles of a defense policy - rooted in a consensus spanning past and present Israeli governments - which is focused on Israel maintaining defensible borders. Recent events only underscore that it is critical for Israel to preserve the principle of defending itself by itself.
As the uses of force in Somalia, Kosovo, and Iraq show, Western armies are very concerned about protecting the lives of their soldiers, and to that end are willing to risk many civilian lives. They also find acceptable the notion that civilian lives can be forfeited in order to attain important military goals. Israel's Gaza operation clearly shows that Israeli commanders successfully followed the requirements of the administrative model of the principle of proportionality. The IDF required commanders to take humanitarian law into account in the planning stages of the operation. Legal advisors were involved in the planning of many operations and provided advice regarding specific targets. The right questions were asked, checks were made, and the incidental damage to civilians was on the whole limited.
Israel is a multi-racial society, and the Arab minority actively participates in the political process. There are Arab parliamentarians, Arab judges including on the Supreme Court, Arab cabinet ministers, Arab heads of hospital departments, Arab university professors, Arab diplomats in the Foreign Service, and very senior Arab police and army officers. Incitement to racism in Israel is a criminal offence, as is discrimination on the basis of race or religion. The comparison of Israel to South Africa under white supremist rule has been utterly rejected by those with intimate understanding of the old Apartheid system.
The term "occupation" is often employed politically, without regard for its general or legal meaning. Iraq was occupied by the Coalition forces from the spring of 2003 until June 28, 2004, at which time authority was handed over to the Iraqi Interim Government. At that point, Coalition forces remained in Iraq, but Iraq was no longer deemed occupied. If handing over authority to a Coalition-appointed interim government ended the occupation of Iraq, would the same not hold true for the establishment of the Palestinian Authority and Israel?
In the wake of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on the U.S., Saudi Arabia was under intense scrutiny since 15 of the 19 hijackers were Saudis. In Feb. 2002, Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia proposed to Israel "full withdrawal" from the territories in return for "full normalization." In a flash, Abdullah transformed the discourse from Saudi involvement in terrorism to Saudi peacemaking. However, by the time the Abdullah trial balloon reached the Arab summit in Beirut in March 2002, the initiative had been modified and its terms hardened. It watered down "full normalization," rewarded Syria with a presence on the shores of the Sea of Galilee, and enshrined a Palestinian "right of return" to Israel.
Download Full Report (1M pdf file)
Download Full Report
Washington, September 23, 2008 To View Conference Click Here
Iran has accelerated its quest for regional supremacy through its mobilization of both Shiite and Sunni terror surrogates, including Hizbullah in Lebanon, Shiite militias in Iraq and in the Gulf, the Taliban in Afghanistan, and Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and the Al Aksa Martyrs' Brigades in the Palestinian territories. This pivotal Iranian role has unfortunately not been fully appreciated, and even downplayed in certain quarters. Download Full Report
Post-Holocaust and Anti-Semitism
There can be no repeat of the anti-Semitism displayed at Durban. It has no place anywhere, but most certainly not at a follow-up conference to combat racism and intolerance. This message has to be delivered forcefully, not only to Europe and elsewhere but also to the conference's chief sponsors in Africa who have the greatest stake in the outcome of the Durban process. The same message needs to be conveyed to the Muslim world. Similarly there can be no linking of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict with racism.
Antisemitism has been present in Great Britain for almost a thousand years of recorded history. English literature and culture are drenched in antisemitic stereotypes. Major British authors throughout the centuries transmitted culturally embedded antisemitism to future generations. Although they did not do so deliberately, it was absorbed and has had a long-term, major impact on British society. The anti-Zionist narrative probably has greater legitimacy than in any other Western society. Antisemitism of the "anti-Zionist" variety has achieved such resonance, particularly in elite opinion, that various British media are leaders in this field. For a complete list of Post-Holocaust and Anti-Semitism articles, click here.
The main recurrent motif in Arab cartoons concerning Israel is "the devilish Jew." This image conveys the idea that Jews behave like Nazis, kill children and love blood. The similarity with themes promulgated by the Nazis is evident. Many Arab cartoons praise suicide bombing or call for murder. The collective image of the Jews thus projected lays the groundwork for a possible genocide.